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Statistical Probabilities


Statistical Probabilities

If a player with a high Offensive Rating slumps early in the season, is there an algorithm in place to reduce his OR or do the probabilities remain consistent? I’ve often wondered this since I have had some great players slump for 162 games….. such as Frank Thomas currently with a sub-700 OPS even though he has a 100 OR.

Re: Statistical Probabilities

Probabilities remain consistent - this is why you're seeing a variety of outcomes - some guys may slump all year, some guys will bounce back, some guys will play all season as expected...